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Roger Ebert posts his surprising 2011 Oscar picks

02/11/2011 by Kristina Lopez

Film critic Roger Ebert took to his blog to post his official picks for the 2011 Academy Awards and according to Ebert, it's going to be a good night for "The King's Speech."

The British drama will nab awards for Best Picture, Directing for Tom Hooper, Actor in a Leading Role for Colin Firth, Writing (Original Screenplay) and even Music (Original Score), according to Ebert.

The film critic also believes that long running favorite Christian Bale, who has earned several awards including a Golden Globe and a Screen Actors Guild Award for his role in "The Fighter," will be upset by "The Kings Speech" star Geoffrey Rush in the Actor in a Supporting Role category.

"It could be a 'King's Speech' year," Ebert writes. "Christian Bale seems to have a good chance, but when a movie gets anointed, its aura shines on its other nominees, as if voters are thinking, 'Well, if I voted for 'The King's Speech,' doesn't that mean I keep voting for it?'"

He also predicts an upset for another star of "The Fighter" Melissa Leo, for Actress in a Supporting Role. He thinks Leo, who also won a Golden Globe and Screen Actors Guild Award for her role in the film, will end up splitting votes for the movie with her co-star Amy Adams.

"The academy has a way in this category (Actress in a Supporting Role) of anointing a plucky young newcomer, and the winner will be Hailee Steinfeld, who in fact played the lead in 'True Grit,' no matter what the academy thinks," Ebert predicts.

As for the big Oscar battle for the award for Actress in a Leading Role between Annette Bening and Natalie Portman, Ebert writes, "In the way that such matters are decided by currents wafting in the air, Natalie Portman has emerged as the consensus choice."

He adds, "She is very good in 'Black Swan.' That's beside the point. Everyone is good in this category. But she gets to 'act' the most, which to the academy, often means 'act out in emotional displays.' She was required to do that by the logic of the role, which had Oscar written all over it."

As for a few of the other categories, Ebert predicts a win for "The Social Network" scribe Aaron Sorkin in the Writing (Adapted Screenplay) category and "Toy Story 3" to take the prize home for Animated Feature Film.

This year's Oscar ceremony is set to air live on ABC from the Kodak Theatre in Los Angeles on Feb. 27, 2011. Check out a full list of Oscar nominations.

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